The main limit theorems
The law of averages
- Definition 8.3 We say that the sequence
of random variables converges in mean square to the (limit) random variable if If this holds, we write ‘ in mean square as ’. - Theorem 8.6 (Mean-square law of large numbers) Let
be a sequence of independent random variables, each with mean and variance . The average of the first n of the satisfies, as ,
Chebyshev’s inequality and the weak law
- Definition 8.12 We say that the sequence
of random variables converges in probability to as if If this holds, we write ‘ in probability as ’. - It turns out that convergence in mean square is a more powerful property than convergence in probability.
- Theorem 8.14 If
is a sequence of random variables and in mean square as , then in probability also. - Theorem 8.15 (Chebyshev’s inequality) If
is a random variable and , then - Theorem 8.17 (Weak law of large numbers) Let
be a sequence of independent random variables, each with mean and variance . The average of the first of the satisfies, as ,
The central limit theorem
- Theorem 8.25 (Central limit theorem) Let
, . . . be independent and identically distributed random variables, each with mean and non-zero variance . The standardized version of the sum satisfies, as , it may be written as where is a random variable with this standard normal distribution. - Theorem 8.27 (Continuity theorem) Let
be a sequence of random variables with moment generating functions and suppose that, as , Then,
Large deviations and Cramér’s theorem
- Let
, and define the so-called Fenchel–Legendre transform of by - Theorem 8.36 (Large deviation theorem) Let
be independent, identically distributed random variables with mean 0, whose common moment generating function is finite in some neighborhood of the origin. Let be such that . Then and That is to say, decays to 0 in the manner of
Convergence in distribution, and characteristic functions
- Definition 8.45 The sequence
is said to converge in distribution, or to converge weakly, to as if where is the set of reals at which the distribution function is continuous. If this holds, we write . - Theorem 8.46 If
is a sequence of random variables and in probability as , then . - Theorem 8.47 Let
be a sequence of random variables which converges in distribution to the constant . Then converges to in probability also. - Theorem 8.50 (Continuity theorem) Let
be random variables with characteristic functions Then if and only if
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